Monday, 19 October 2026 LIVE — Czech coalition talks enter third day
BREAKING
FRANCE — First-round presidential voting set for 11 April 2027, Constitutional Council confirms GERMANY — Union leads new DeutschlandTrend at 29%, AfD steady in second on 23.5% EU — Parliament backs stricter rules on cross-border campaign finance ITALY — FdI holds narrow lead as budget season reshapes the race NETHERLANDS — Coalition negotiations resume after record-long formation talks TURNOUT — Under-30 turnout up for the third consecutive national election cycle
Featured · EU Politics European Parliament building in Strasbourg with EU flags

The Road to 2027: How France's Presidential Race Will Reshape the Balance of Power in Brussels

With nine months to go, the French contest is already redrawing coalition mathematics across the continent — and the outcome could decide who controls the EU agenda for the rest of the decade.

Voter casting a ballot at the 2024 European election
Elections

Netherlands coalition talks resume as caretaker government hits 12-month mark

Press conference at the European Commission
Polling

Poll of polls: centre-right holds in Germany while the Left consolidates gains

Officials counting paper ballots
Analysis

Inside the Czech counting hall: how 8.4 million ballots became a hung parliament

Next Major Election

France · Presidential Election · First Round — 11 April 2027

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National Poll of Polls

Weighted rolling average of the last 10 published national surveys
Full methodology →
Fieldwork: 12–16 Oct 2026 · Sample: ~2,500 · ±2.0 pts Vs. last election ▲▼
Averages are weighted by sample size, fieldwork recency and pollster track record. Seat thresholds (5% Germany / 3% Italy etc.) apply to list vote only. Figures may not sum to 100 due to rounding and undecided voters.

European Parliament Seat Projection

If elections were held today — 720 seats, projection updated weekly
See full projection →
720
Total Seats

Latest Official Results

Tweede Kamer — Netherlands General Election · Certified final count
All results →

Netherlands · General Election — Final

✓ CERTIFIED · 100% REPORTED
PartyVote ShareSeats (of 150)Change
Party for Freedom (PVV) 23.5%
37
▲ 20
GreenLeft–Labour (GL–PvdA) 15.8%
25
▲ 3
People's Party (VVD) 15.2%
24
▼ 10
New Social Contract (NSC) 12.9%
20
▲ 20
Democrats D66 6.3%
9
▼ 15
Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) 6.2%
9
▼ 6
Source: Kiesraad (Dutch Electoral Council) · Certified 4 Dec 2023 · Formation talks ongoing under caretaker cabinet.

Analysis & Commentary

Deep dives from our correspondents across the continent
All stories →
Candidate shaking hands with supporters at a campaign rally
France

The three-way France: why no presidential candidate can win without a coalition

Two-round arithmetic has broken down. We model every plausible second-round scenario from 40 years of polling data.

Lead candidates TV debate
Germany

Debate season begins: five takeaways from the first chancellor-candidate duel

Migration, debt-brake reform and Ukraine dominated. Instant reaction polling suggests a narrow but real shift.

European Union flags
European Parliament

The quiet revolution: how committee chairs became the EU's real power map

Ignore the plenary votes. Our data team charts where legislative influence actually sits after the latest reshuffle.

European Parliament hemicycle in Brussels
Data Desk

Seat projections explained: why our model moved the Patriots down 12 seats this week

A transparent walk-through of the model, the inputs that changed, and what it means for the EPP's coalition options.

Voter casting a ballot at a European election polling station
Turnout

Gen Z is voting again — and pollsters finally know how to find them

After a decade of misses, weighting reforms and online-first panels are quietly fixing youth representation.

German federal election ballot paper
Election Integrity

Paper, sealed boxes and four eyes: how European counts stay verifiable

As trust in elections becomes a political weapon, we visit six counting centres to see the safeguards in action.

Reader Poll

Unscientific daily poll of our readers — for fun, not forecasting

If the European Parliament election were held tomorrow, which group would get your vote?